Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday


	Berga		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	2.55
	2.39	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3.22	2.72
	2.35	3.2	2.55
	2.43	3.24	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.02)	3.19 ↓ (3.74)	2.63 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
37.5%

Draw
28.3%

AFC Malmö
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berga's form might have worsened.

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berga than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Berga - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Norrland (Promotion Group)).

IFK Berga is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ariana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.06.22	Räppe GoIF - Berga	3:4 ✺
05.06.22	Berga - Balkan	3:0 ✺
29.05.22	Karlskrona - Berga	0:1 ✺
26.05.22	Berga - Nosaby	0:0 ✺
21.05.22	Hässleholm - Berga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTL
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.06.22	AFC Malmö - Högsby	5:0 ✺
04.06.22	IFK Hässleholm - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Kristianstad - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
26.05.22	AFC Malmö - Räppe GoIF	3:1 ✺
20.05.22	Balkan - AFC Malmö	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

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