Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.05
	1.76	3.46	4.86
	1.78	3.44	4.27	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.66	3.58	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.42 ↑ (3.22)	4.78 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
53.9%

Draw
26.9%

Lealtad
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

28.1%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

28.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Bergantiños - Lealtad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lealtad (3.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lealtad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Fito ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Perez Bujan A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Bergantiños has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lealtad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Bergantiños is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:4 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLL
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Lealtad - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lealtad - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Sámano - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lealtad - Langreo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
05.12.18	Bergantiños - Lealtad	1:0
21.11.18	Lealtad - Bergantiños	1:1

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