The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lealtad 25.7%
Draw 29.9%
Gimnástica Segoviana 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
30.1%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
29.8%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lealtad - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Cid C. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
In recent matches, Lealtad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
G Segoviana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lealtad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
G Segoviana could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.