Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Llanera

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.91	3.29	3.85
	1.89	3.44	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	3.72 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
48.2%

Draw
27.3%

Llanera
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Bergantiños - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Antanon L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 0, Alex Pachon ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Bergantiños is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llanera is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergantiños could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.24	Bergantiños - Numancia	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Coruxo - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Bergantiños - Real Avilés	4:1 ✺
31.08.24	Guijuelo - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.24	Bergantiños - Somozas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWTW
- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.24	Llanera - Coruxo	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Avilés - Llanera	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Llanera - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rayo Cantabria - Llanera	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.24	Lenense - Llanera	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.04.22	Llanera - Bergantiños	2:0
14.11.21	Bergantiños - Llanera	1:2

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