Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	3	2.7	2.35
	3.05	2.75	2.45
	3.1	2.8	2.35
	3.45	2.7	2.39
	3.38	2.69	2.39
	3.1	2.8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.84)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
28.6%

Draw
33.2%

Arenteiro
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

33.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

33.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergantiños that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Bergantiños - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Bergantiños has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arenteiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Arenteiro have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Coruxo - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Bergantiños - Polvorín	0:0 ✺
10.12.22	Guijuelo - Bergantiños	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Arenteiro - Coruxo	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Arenteiro - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Guijuelo - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Arenteiro - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.12.22	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.09.22	Arenteiro - Bergantiños	1:1
19.03.22	Arenteiro - Bergantiños	1:0
30.10.21	Bergantiños - Arenteiro	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	Bergantiños - Arenteiro	3:0

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