Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.63	3
	2.48	2.72	3.05
	2.61	2.85	3.12
	3.49	2.48	2.59	Watch
	2.52	2.77	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.33)	2.69 ↓ (2.94)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
34.2%

Draw
34.5%

Zamora
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Arenteiro - Zamora Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Zamora (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 3. Lohr L. 5. Perez G. 22. Sanchez J. 15. Moreno D. 7. Ferreiro D. 8. Gonzalez D. 6. Val B. 25. Bastida A. 24. Richarte R. 18. Mingo V.	1. Sobron F. (G) 20. Codina M. 5. Ruiz E. 4. Athuman I. 8. Lucero R. 15. Buron L. 10. Ramos C. (C) 23. Lopez S. 16. Lozano M. 9. Eslava J. 17. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 10. De Camargo W. 4. Falcon E. 44. Gimenez F. 16. Guerrero J. 30. Iglesias F. 2. Moya P. 12. Ochoa M. 23. Romera D. 14. Safrai 20. Solis A.	26. Alvaro (G) 14. Claveria P. 18. Farrell J. 6. Garcia M. 7. Kike 21. Lopez M. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 3. Merchan D. 19. Monerris A. 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Lopez S. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
75', Buron L. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
75', Carbonell J. ↓, Kike ↑,
80', Ramos C. 🟨,
90', Eslava J. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
90', Ramos C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Arenteiro - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Cacereño - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.25	Arenteiro - UD Ourense	3:0 ✺
15.08.25	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Zamora - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Zamora - Amorebieta	4:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.25	Barakaldo - Zamora	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1
22.12.24	Zamora - Arenteiro	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.04.23	Zamora - Arenteiro	1:0
17.12.22	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
05.10.22	Arenteiro - Zamora	2:1

Upcoming Matches