Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Bergantiños		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.2	3.15	3.05
	2.17	2.95	3.25
	2.29	2.89	3.57
	2.22	3.02	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.3)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
41.3%

Draw
30.6%

Navalcarnero
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergantiños that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bergantiños - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Bergantiños is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bergantiños could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.12.21	Unión Adarve - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Bergantiños - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.11.21	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Bergantiños - Llanera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.12.21	Navalcarnero - Leganés B	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Navalcarnero - Compostela	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Pontevedra - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Navalcarnero - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWTW

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