Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.15	3.2	2.14
	3.45	3.03	2.21
	3.29	3.11	2.16
	3.31	3.18	2.15
	3.15	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.12)	3.13 ↑ (2.99)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
28.3%

Draw
29.1%

Navalcarnero
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

30.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', Parra C. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Móstoles has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Navalcarnero to win the game is with odds 2.28.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Burgos	2:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.24	Coria - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Illescas	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Conquense - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Navalcarnero - Tenerife B	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Coria - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Navalcarnero - Illescas	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.08.22	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:1
28.11.21	Móstoles URJC - Navalcarnero	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.12.19	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	2:1

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