Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Bergisch Gladbach		Köln II

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	3.9	3.4	1.78
	3.85	3.6	1.75
	3.6	3.55	1.93
	3.99	3.58	1.93
	3.62	3.82	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.38)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	1.86 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergisch Gladbach
24.4%

Draw
25.8%

Köln II
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.4%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

20.7%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bergisch Gladbach - Köln II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Bergisch Gladbach is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Köln II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bergisch Gladbach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln II is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bergisch Gladbach won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergisch Gladbach won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergisch Gladbach
German Regionalliga West
24.10.20	Alemannia Aachen - Bergisch Gladbach	3:2 ✺
10.10.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Straelen	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Wegberg-Beeck - Bergisch Gladbach	0:2 ✺
26.09.20	Rödinghausen - Bergisch Gladbach	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Schalke 04 II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWLT
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
24.10.20	Köln II - Rödinghausen	3:1 ✺
21.10.20	Schalke 04 II - Köln II	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	4:0 ✺
09.10.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Köln II	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Köln II - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.01.20	Köln II - Bergisch Gladbach	3:1
German Regionalliga West
14.12.19	Bergisch Gladbach - Köln II	1:1
03.08.19	Köln II - Bergisch Gladbach	3:0
30.03.13	Bergisch Gladbach - Köln II	3:0

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