Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 8

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	Bergnäsets		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	4.2
	1.6	4.33	4.33
	1.62	4.25	3.91
	1.62	4.15	3.91
	1.57	4.2	4
	1.65	4.26	4.15
	1.6	4.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	4.23 ↑ (4.08)	4.12 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergnäsets
56.5%

Draw
21.4%

Umeå
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

23%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergnäsets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1%)

Bergnäsets - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Aberg K. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Johnson P. I. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Recent matches Bergnäsets is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Umeå is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bergnäsets is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bergnäsets won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergnäsets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergnäsets AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.05.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Bergnäsets	0:4 ✺
04.05.24	Bergnäsets - Gottne	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Luleå - Bergnäsets	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Bergnäsets - Team TG	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWLL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.05.24	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.05.24	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.05.24	Umeå - Stocksund	4:2 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
04.05.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Umeå	3:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.05.24	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.09.22	Umeå - Bergnäsets	0:3
14.05.22	Bergnäsets - Umeå	0:5
04.08.21	Bergnäsets - Umeå	3:2
07.07.21	Umeå - Bergnäsets	0:2

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