Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Halesowen Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.9	1.77
	3.49	4.01	1.84
	3.49	4.02	1.84
	3.83	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.96)	3.92 ↓ (4.5)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
26%

Draw
23.4%

Halesowen Town
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

20.1%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

19.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Halesowen Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Halesowen Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Donnelly K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Berkhamsted is Relegated to

Berkhamsted is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Halesowen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Halesowen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berkhamsted won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
20.04.24	AFC Telford United - Berkhamsted	6:2 ✺
13.04.24	Berkhamsted - Barwell	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Kettering Town - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Berkhamsted - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Leiston - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTLL
- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
20.04.24	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	4:3 ✺
13.04.24	Hitchin Town - Halesowen Town	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Leamington - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Halesowen Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.11.23	Halesowen Town - Berkhamsted	2:1

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