Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Central Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.52	4.33	4.75
	1.56	4.49	4.62
	1.56	4.49	4.62
	1.53	4.15	4.94
	1.52	4.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.41)	4.33 ↓ (4.5)	4.7 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
59.5%

Draw
21.1%

Berkhamsted
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

18.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kettering Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Bustamente M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Chong K. J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Berkhamsted is Relegated to

Kettering is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berkhamsted is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kettering is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kettering to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kettering won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.24	Stratford Town - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Kettering Town - Barwell	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Sudbury Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Kettering Town - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.24	Berkhamsted - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Leiston - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	St Ives Town - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Berkhamsted - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.10.23	Berkhamsted - Kettering Town	2:3

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