Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Leiston		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	4.6
	1.53	4.2	4.75
	1.56	4.58	4.63
	1.57	4.58	4.64
	1.51	4.15	5.19
	1.53	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.32 ↑ (3.96)	4.76 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
59.6%

Draw
21.2%

Berkhamsted
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Newman T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Boatswain A. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Loza J. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Loza J. (Pen),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Leiston is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Berkhamsted is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Berkhamsted could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leiston have a series of home games.

In this match Leiston is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
23.03.24	Stamford - Leiston	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Leiston - Stourbridge	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Leiston - Mickleover Sports	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Leiston - Alvechurch	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Leiston - Halesowen Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
23.03.24	St Ives Town - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Berkhamsted - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Stratford Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Berkhamsted - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.08.23	Berkhamsted - Leiston	0:0

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