Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.76	4.02	3.7
	1.84	3.58	3.61
	2.12	3.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)	3.77 ↑ (3.66)	3.45 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
49.1%

Draw
24.4%

Plymouth Parkway
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

24.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Berkhamsted's performance.

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Berkhamsted - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Wadkins B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Nyadzayo C. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Love-Holmes T. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Barker C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Berkhamsted has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Plymouth Parkway has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Berkhamsted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Berkhamsted could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Billericay Town - Berkhamsted	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Uxbridge - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Berkhamsted - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Hanwell Town - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Berkhamsted - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	3:3 ✺
06.09.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLTW

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