Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Plymouth Parkway		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	2.82	3.4	2.15
	2.91	3.47	2.21
	6.86	4.38	1.43	Watch
	3.02	3.28	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.63)	3.56 ↑ (3.27)	2.01 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
25.8%

Draw
26.8%

Dorchester Town
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

26.6%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Parkway's form might have worsened.

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorchester Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Robinson W. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Spetch W. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 0 - 3, Robinson W. ⚽,
67', Wooding C. 🟥,
69', 1 - 3, Garside C. (Pen),
76', 2 - 3, Love-Holmes T. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Watts-Barciela J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 2.

Plymouth Parkway is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dorchester is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth Parkway won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTWL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Gloucester City - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Dorchester Town - Farnham Town	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Berkhamsted - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorchester Town - Walton & Hersham	3:3 ✺
12.08.25	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.02.25	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	1:2
22.10.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0
27.01.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:0
26.09.23	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	5:0
14.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	3:0
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	2:0
English Southern League South Division
16.08.22	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:1

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