Match Info

efbet League - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora)

Referee: Velikov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Beroe Stara Zagora		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.47	3.26	2.2
	3.4	3.26	2.16	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.4	3.14	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beroe Stara Zagora
27.6%

Draw
29.5%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

30%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arthur (G) 3. Salomoni J. 16. Yovkov S. 4. Costantini F. (C) 24. Gavrilov S. 12. Valverde D. 8. Borgnino M. 32. Varela F. 23. Sonha T. 7. Pineda J. 9. Valbuena Y.	1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 4. Chindris A. 5. Pavlov T. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 94. Itu C. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 7. Idriz S. 77. Zwarts J.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon F. 5. Caio Lopes 27. Dabo A. 17. Dual W. 22. Georgiev M. 25. Johny 19. Kuhinja E. 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S.	33. Atanasov M. 29. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 11. Dinev Z. 10. Francisco Politino 99. Lamy J. 3. Trdan M. 19. Vangelov M. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Uribe J.	Kosic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Cova A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ivanov I. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
49', Costantini F. 🟨,
63', Pineda J. ↓, Kuhinja E. ↑,
67', Valbuena Y. ↓, Dual W. ↑,
68', Ali E. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
74', Gavrilov S. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
81', Cova A. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
81', Idriz S. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
89', Atanasov M. 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).

Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 2.

Beroe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Lok. Plovdiv: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lok. Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5:13	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.93%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.04.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.04.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0
Bulgarian Cup
13.12.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.12.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2
10.08.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.04.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:2

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