What is the expert prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe Stara Zagora?

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Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

efbet League - Round 29

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4	6
	1.5	4.05	5.5
	1.58	4.13	5.5
	1.57	4.26	5.22	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.58	3.9	5.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	3.98 ↑ (3.48)	5.48 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
60.1%

Draw
23.1%

Beroe Stara Zagora
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Beroe will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Sofia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 91. Bidounga R. 42. Neychev N. 14. Lyaskov A. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 77. Caue Caruzo 64. Yankov D. 8. Luann 13. Diego Raposo 7. Delev S.	1. Arthur (G) 12. Valverde D. 3. Salomoni J. 30. Brunelli S. 23. Sonha T. 4. Costantini F. (C) 11. Ferrer I. 32. Varela F. 8. Borgnino M. 7. Pineda J. 9. Valbuena Y.
Substitutes
28. Acka D. 2. Ali D. 4. Dembele S. 45. Gerov E. 44. Katsarov B. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 10. Minchev G. 11. Taoui A.	15. Alarcon F. 27. Dabo A. 17. Dual W. 24. Gavrilov S. 22. Georgiev M. 25. Johny 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S. 16. Yovkov S.
Coaches
Genchev S.	Uribe J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Valverde D. ⚽, Pineda J. (A),
45+2', Yankov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Delev S. ⚽, Daskalov R. (A),
66', Bidounga R. 🟨,
68', Diego Raposo ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
68', Valverde D. ↓, Johny ↑,
79', Stanoev K. ↓, Acka D. ↑,
79', Luann ↓, Taoui A. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Taoui A. ⚽, Caue Caruzo (A),
85', Ferrer I. 🟨,
87', Brunelli S. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
90', Varela F. 🟨,
90+1', Yankov D. ↓, Katsarov B. ↑,
90+1', Borgnino M. ↓, Dual W. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 4.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Beroe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.04.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.03.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWT
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.04.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Slavia Sofia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:3
30.11.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1
29.07.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:0
21.05.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:3
09.04.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0
06.10.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1
13.11.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2

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