The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Sofia 48.3%
Draw 26.2%
Beroe Stara Zagora 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
24.8%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
24.1%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Sofia's form might have worsened.
Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beroe Stara Zagora's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
30%
20%
Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 19% โ 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 2. Ali D. 44. Katsarov B. 91. Bidounga R. 14. Lyaskov A. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 5. Dost E. 77. Caue Caruzo 11. Taoui A. 7. Delev S. 33. Ibe J.
1. Arthur (G) 30. Brunelli S. 3. Salomoni J. 16. Yovkov S. 12. Valverde D. 11. Ferrer I. 4. Costantini F. (C) 8. Borgnino M. 23. Sonha T. 15. Alarcon F. 7. Pineda J.
Substitutes
22. Daskalov R. 4. Dembele S. 45. Gerov E. 8. Luann 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 42. Neychev N. 88. Velichkov V. 17. Zakhariev M.
5. Caio Lopes 17. Dual W. 24. Gavrilov S. 22. Georgiev M. 25. Johny 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S. 9. Valbuena Y. 32. Varela F.
Coaches
Georgiev A.
Uribe J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Alarcon F. ⚽,
27', Costantini F. 🟨,
35', Yovkov S. ↓, Varela F. ↑,
43', Alarcon F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Bidounga R. ⚽,
58', Caue Caruzo 🟨,
63', Taoui A. 🟨,
63', Pineda J. 🟨,
73', Stanoev K. ↓, Daskalov R. ↑,
73', Ibe J. ↓, Gerov E. ↑,
73', Alarcon F. ↓, Gavrilov S. ↑,
85', Borgnino M. ↓, Valbuena Y. ↑,
86', Caue Caruzo ↓, Velichkov V. ↑,
86', Ali D. ↓, Zakhariev M. ↑,
90+2', Katsarov B. 🟥,
90+3', Taoui A. ↓, Neychev N. ↑,
90+3', Ferrer I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 4.
Recent performances by Lokomotiv Sofia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Beroe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
Bulgaria
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Velichkov M. (G) 
Bidounga R. 
Caue Caruzo 
Taoui A. 
Ibe J. 
Brunelli S. 
Salomoni J. 
Valverde D. 
Sonha T. 
Pineda J. 
Johny 
Valbuena Y. 
