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Current Win Probability
Beroe Stara Zagora 32.6%
Draw 29.1%
Lokomotiv Sofia 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
28.4%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
26.9%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beroe Stara Zagora's form might have worsened.
Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arthur (G) 25. Johny 3. Salomoni J. 4. Costantini F. 23. Sonha T. 11. Ferrer I. 5. Caio Lopes 8. Masogo A. 27. Dabo A. 10. Nene 9. Valbuena Y.
24. Lyubenov A. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 4. Dembele S. 91. Bidounga R. 27. Galchev P. 8. Luann 44. Katsarov B. 31. Stanoev K. 14. Lyaskov A. 7. Delev S. 77. Caue Caruzo
Substitutes
15. Alarcon F. 12. Georgiev M. 2. Longinotti V. 6. Mitev I. 7. Pineda J. 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S. 21. Salido Tajero A. 16. Yovkov S.
28. Acka D. 2. Ali D. 21. Chachev K. 15. Ivanov L. 3. Messi 26. Miloshev K. 10. Minchev G. 58. Octavio 99. Velichkov M. (G)
Coaches
Sageras A.
Genchev S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Masogo A. 🟨,
33', Caio Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Sonha T. ↓, Salido Tajero A. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Costantini F. (Own goal),
62', 0 - 2, Galchev P. ⚽, Stanoev K. (A),
63', Luann ↓, Miloshev K. ↑,
68', Galchev P. 🟨,
73', Caue Caruzo ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Valbuena Y. ⚽, Salido Tajero A. (A),
80', Katsarov B. 🟨,
80', Masogo A. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
84', Costantini F. 🟨,
90', Delev S. ↓, Octavio ↑,
90', Stanoev K. ↓, Acka D. ↑,
90', Galchev P. ↓, Ali D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Octavio ⚽, Bidounga R. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 0.
Beroe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lokomotiv Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Beroe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
Bulgaria
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Arthur (G) 
Johny 
Salomoni J. 
Sonha T. 
Masogo A. 
Dabo A. 
Valbuena Y. 
Lyubenov A. (G) 
Dembele S. 
Bidounga R. 
Pineda J. 
Acka D. 
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