Match Info

efbet League - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3	2.92
	2.54	3.02	3.08
	2.52	3.11	2.89	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.41	3.11	3.01	Watch
	2.6	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.41)	3.03 ↓ (3.24)	2.95 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
37.8%

Draw
30.7%

Botev Plovdiv
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 3. Messi 44. Katsarov B. 4. Dembele S. 2. Ali D. 31. Stanoev K. (C) 13. Diego Raposo 5. Dost E. 14. Lyaskov A. 7. Delev S. 77. Caue Caruzo	29. Naumov D. (G) 42. Videv I. 87. Petrov S. 22. Kwateng E. 17. Minkov N. (C) 3. John E. 7. Iliev N. 38. Balogiannis K. 6. Yordanov A. 23. Okoflex A. 30. Mascote
Substitutes
28. Acka D. 21. Chachev K. 15. Ivanov L. 8. Luann 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 10. Minchev G. 58. Octavio 9. Velichkov B.	5. Georgiev M. 90. Kalu S. 77. Lucas Araujo 9. Mitkov D. 2. Noga G. 20. Petkov S. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 4. Soldo N. 10. Tales
Coaches
Genchev S.	Dimitrov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Katsarov B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Caue Caruzo ⚽, Delev S. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Mascote ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', John E. ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,
58', Caue Caruzo 🟨,
66', Diego Raposo ↓, Luann ↑,
72', Delev S. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
73', Dost E. ↓, Acka D. ↑,
79', Lucas Araujo ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
80', Ali D. ↓, Chachev K. ↑,
80', Stanoev K. ↓, Miloshev K. ↑,
81', Acka D. 🟨,
82', Iliev N. ↓, Kalu S. ↑,
83', Chachev K. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Mascote ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Messi ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1.

Lokomotiv Sofia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Botev Plovdiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botev Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lokomotiv Sofia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.12.25	Montana - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTWLW
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.12.25	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Plovdiv	Botev Plovdiv awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLW?

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1
18.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:1
Bulgarian Cup
15.12.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:5
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.11.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0
21.04.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:4
26.10.23	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	6:0
01.06.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:2

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