Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2d 10h 📅 Remind Me


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.50	2.35
	2.60	3.25	2.45
	2.80	3.45	2.35
	2.74	3.43	2.48
	2.68	3.37	2.49	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.40
	2.61	3.30	2.50
	2.60	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.58)	3.36 ↓ (3.43)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
34.7%

Draw
27.4%

Botev Plovdiv
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

27%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2.

In recent outings, Lokomotiv Sofia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Botev Plovdiv is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:31 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Sofia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:16 goals (averaging 1.2:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Botev Plovdiv	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
12	Lok. Sofia	12	1	6	5	13:20	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Sofia - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Botev Plovdiv - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.98%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
17.10.26	Vihren Sandanski - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.10.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTWL
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.10.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
18.10.26	Chernomorets Burgas - Botev Plovdiv	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Pro Cup
14.10.26	Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.10.26	Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.12.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:2
10.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1
18.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:1
Bulgarian Cup
15.12.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:5
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.11.24	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0

Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv