The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Sofia 34.8%
Draw 28.5%
CSKA 1948 Sofia 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
28.4%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
27.1%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Sofia's performance.
CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA 1948 Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA 1948 Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 21.4% โ 67.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Lokomotiv Sofia (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 22. Daskalov R. 44. Katsarov B. 91. Bidounga R. 14. Lyaskov A. 31. Stanoev K. 5. Dost E. 71. Penev N. 20. Kostadinov D. 7. Delev S. 10. Minchev G.
31. Bozhev A. (G) 96. Grivic D. 6. Parkhomenko E. 5. Benamar B. 15. Soltani F. 34. Vitanov P. 23. Krebs F. 17. Martines J. 10. Tsonev B. 77. Franco E. 93. Diallo M.
Substitutes
77. Caue Caruzo 21. Chachev K. 6. Eiro 3. Kostov K. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 16. Medfai M. 26. Miloshev K. 19. Mitkov M. 42. Neychev N. 17. Papazov M. 11. Taoui A.
19. Boychev M. 18. Dimitrov B. 67. Frederic 22. Gasevic O. 9. Iliev A. 70. Iliev K. 30. Meyer J. 11. Rusev G. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 14. Strinski K. 71. Tarasenko D.
Coaches
Penev L.
Aleksandrov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Soltani F. 🟨,
16', Daskalov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Dost E. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
46', Penev N. ↓, Taoui A. ↑,
52', Minchev G. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Franco E. ⚽,
54', Medfai M. 🟨,
60', Benamar B. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
60', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev K. ↑,
60', Martines J. ↓, Rusev G. ↑,
60', Tsonev B. ↓, Frederic ↑,
70', Minchev G. ↓, Papazov M. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Frederic ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Delev S. ⚽,
81', Krebs F. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,
85', Kostadinov D. ↓, Caue Caruzo ↑,
85', Daskalov R. ↓, Eiro ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Frederic ⚽,
90+2', Iliev K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2.
Lokomotiv Sofia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
CSKA 1948 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Lokomotiv Sofia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.8:1.8).
Bulgaria
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Velichkov M. (G) 
Bidounga R. 
Grivic D. 
Parkhomenko E. 
Benamar B. 
Soltani F. 
Krebs F. 
Martines J. 
Franco E. 
Diallo M. 
Eiro 
Taoui A. 
Tarasenko D. 
