The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Sofia 45.2%
Draw 28.3%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 26.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
28.9%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
27.9%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Sofia will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 14. Lyaskov A. 3. Kostov K. 91. Bidounga R. 6. Eiro 31. Stanoev K. (C) 20. Kostadinov D. 7. Delev S. 11. Taoui A. 16. Medfai M. 29. Aralica A.
1. Milosavljevic B. (C) 2. Cova A. 4. Chindris A. 94. Matheus Brito 5. Pavlov T. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 29. Longville C. 10. Iliev Y. 11. Leijten R. 19. Burban J.
Substitutes
22. Daskalov R. 5. Dost E. 18. Kati K. 44. Katsarov B. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 9. Minchev G. 23. Ogaga D. 17. Papazov M. 71. Penev N. 8. Yordanov I.
3. Ali D. 33. Dzhelepov Y. 17. Fase A. 26. Kirashki D. 99. Lamy J. 31. Mrankov D. 44. Petrovic M. 6. Trdan M. 39. Umarbaev P. 9. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Penev L.
Kosic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Leijten R. ⚽, Longville C. (A),
27', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Medfai M. ⚽, Delev S. (A),
45+5', Ali E. ↓, Umarbaev P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Longville C. 🟨,
58', Longville C. ↓, Ali D. ↑,
59', Leijten R. ↓, Lamy J. ↑,
59', Aralica A. ↓, Kati K. ↑,
59', Medfai M. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
63', Yordanov I. 🟨,
64', Pavlov T. 🟨,
72', Kostov K. 🟨,
74', Pavlov T. ↓, Fase A. ↑,
74', Iliev Y. ↓, Trdan M. ↑,
79', Taoui A. 🟨,
81', Stanoev K. ↓, Dost E. ↑,
81', Kostov K. ↓, Daskalov R. ↑,
85', Daskalov R. 🟨,
85', Taoui A. ↓, Minchev G. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 11th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 12th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lokomotiv Sofia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:27 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Sofia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:13 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Lok. Plovdiv
12
2
3
7
6:14
-8
9
12
Lok. Sofia
12
1
6
5
13:20
-7
9
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Sofia - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Bulgaria
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Velichkov M. (G) 
Bidounga R. 
Eiro 
Taoui A. 
Medfai M. 
Aralica A. 
Milosavljevic B. (C) 
Cova A. 
Chindris A. 
Matheus Brito 
Longville C. 
Leijten R. 
Kati K. 
Ogaga D. 
Petrovic M. 
Trdan M. 
Umarbaev P. 
Zovko P. (G) 
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