Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 26Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Besa Kavajë |
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Pogradeci |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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5.7 |
3.9 |
1.47 |
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8.50 |
4.40 |
1.33 |
 Watch |
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5.92 |
4.2 |
1.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.71 ↑
(3.77) |
4.17 ↑
(3.4) |
1.41 ↓
(1.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Besa Kavajë
13.6% | Draw
21.9% | Pogradeci
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Besa Kavajë's form might have worsened.Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Besa won 1.Besa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Pogradeci is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Besa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Pogradeci is the clear favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Besa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Besa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Besa Kavaje | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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