Match Info
Kategoria e Parรซ - Round 23Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Pogradeci |
|
Lushnja |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.7 |
6.9 |
|
 |
1.4 |
4.02 |
7.3 |
 Watch |
 |
1.36 |
3.9 |
8 |
|
 |
1.34 |
4.25 |
8.35 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.35) |
3.97 ↓
(4.53) |
7.64 ↓
(7.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pogradeci
65.3% | Draw
22.8% | Lushnja
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Lushnja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogradeci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lushnja than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Pogradeci - Lushnja Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Preknicaj K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 1.Pogradeci is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Lushnja is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Pogradeci is the undeniable favorite.We predict that Pogradeci will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Pogradeci won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Albanian First Division | | | 24.08.25 | Pogradeci - Lushnja | 0:0 | | 28.02.25 | Pogradeci - Lushnja | 2:2 | | 25.11.24 | Pogradeci - Lushnja | 1:0 | | 30.08.24 | Lushnja - Pogradeci | 1:0 | | 19.03.22 | Lushnja - Pogradeci | 1:1 | | 09.12.20 | Lushnja - Pogradeci | 0:3 |
|
Bet รยฃ10 and get รยฃ30 in Free Bets
Get 25% deposit match up to รขยยฌ125
