Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	Betis		Eibar

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.6	4.5
	1.82	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.7
	1.83	3.68	4.87
	1.83	3.5	4.6	Watch
	1.83	3.55	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	4.7 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betis
53%

Draw
26.7%

Eibar
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

17.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Betis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	24.2%	25.8%

Betis - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 124 users predict this event. Betis will win (votes: 62 - 50%). Eibar will win (votes: 32 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Betis: 41.2% – 58.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 14 and 16).

Eibar has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Betis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eibar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eibar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Betis is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Betis won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Betis won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.20	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	4:0 ✺
07.11.20	Barcelona - Betis	5:2 ✺
01.11.20	Betis - Elche	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Atlético Madrid - Betis	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Betis - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.20	Eibar - Getafe	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Huesca - Eibar	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Eibar - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Sevilla - Eibar	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Eibar - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.02.20	Eibar - Betis	1:1
04.10.19	Betis - Eibar	1:1
05.05.19	Eibar - Betis	1:0
22.12.18	Betis - Eibar	1:1
07.04.18	Betis - Eibar	2:0
20.11.17	Eibar - Betis	5:0
16.04.17	Betis - Eibar	2:0

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