Match Info

LaLiga - Round 29

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 4 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV 22, SCTV Online


	Athletic Bilbao		Betis

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.3
	2.12	3.45	3.45	Watch
	2.18	3.56	3.6
	2.1	3.52	3.49	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.2	3.47	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)	3.47 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
44.8%

Draw
27.7%

Betis
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.7%	45.7%	28.6%

Athletic Bilbao - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Betis will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 45.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 62.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Betis (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Betis (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Betis (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 15. Lekue I. 3. Vivian D. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 30. Rego A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 9. Williams I. (C) 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 11. Guruzeta G.	25. Lopez P. (G) 40. Ortiz A. 3. Llorente D. 4. Natan 16. Gomez V. 7. Antony 14. Amrabat S. 21. Roca M. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 24. Ruibal A. (C) 19. Cucho Hernandez
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 25. Izeta 18. Jauregizar M. 47. Monreal I. 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 44. Sanchez S. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.	6. Altimira S. 9. Avila C. 11. Bakambu C. 5. Bartra M. 2. Bellerin H. 18. Deossa N. 15. Fidalgo A. 23. Firpo J. 8. Fornals P. 17. Riquelme R. 12. Rodriguez R. 1. Valles A. (G)
Coaches
Valverde E.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Vivian D. ⚽, Williams I. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Sancet O. ⚽, Williams I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Antony ↓, Fornals P. ↑,
46', Ortiz A. ↓, Bellerin H. ↑,
46', Roca M. ↓, Altimira S. ↑,
62', Guruzeta G. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
62', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
62', Cucho Hernandez ↓, Bakambu C. ↑,
72', Sancet O. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
74', Ruibal A. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Fornals P. ⚽,
76', Simon U. 🟨,
86', Berenguer A. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
86', Rego A. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
90', Natan 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.

Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Betis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Paredes A. (Contusion) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Isco (Ankle Injury) Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Betis: 0.89% Ath Bilbao: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Betis	7	5	1	1	9:7	2	16
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.59%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
14.03.26	Girona - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- Real Betis
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Betis - Panathinaikos	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.26	Betis - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Panathinaikos - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Getafe - Betis	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Betis - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
31.08.25	Betis - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
02.02.25	Betis - Athletic Bilbao	2:2
03.11.24	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	1:1
25.02.24	Betis - Athletic Bilbao	3:1
27.08.23	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	4:2
04.05.23	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	0:1
29.12.22	Betis - Athletic Bilbao	0:0

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