The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 33.3%
Draw 33.4%
Osasuna 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
31.3%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
22.5%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
63%
20.4%
Eibar - Osasuna Predictions
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Osasuna will win (votes: 11 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 63%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.1% – 75.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Eibar has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Osasuna has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Eibar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Osasuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Osasuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.
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