Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 29

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Municipal (Bettembourg)


	Bettembourg		Fola Esch

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.6	5.25
	1.42	4.7	5.4
	1.45	4.82	5.2
	1.44	4.88	5.28	Watch
	1.41	4.55	5.89
	1.42	4.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.85)	4.71 ↑ (3.96)	5.4 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bettembourg
63.8%

Draw
19.3%

Fola Esch
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

23.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

22.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bettembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bettembourg's performance.

Fola Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fola Esch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bettembourg than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bettembourg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fola Esch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bettembourg - Fola Esch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bettembourg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Bassene B. (G) 4. Baudry C. 22. Bonet D. 77. Couto R. 17. Djetou H. 12. Gomes J. 57. Gomes J. 23. Merino J. (C) 13. Muller L. 88. Silva Moreira A. M. 25. Yala-Lusala B.	44. Adrovic E. (G) 31. Amou L. 11. Benamra M. 9. Diakhite P. 70. Dos Santos Aleixo R. 72. Ferreira A. 23. Freitas D. 6. Funck P. 28. Klein J. (C) 7. Mendes E. 12. Neves E.
Substitutes
10. Costa da Silva R. 1. Da Silva Correia R. (G) 9. Gomes L. 8. Goncalves M. 7. Kehli N. 27. Obeng Sarpong B. 11. Soumah N.	8. Balance Y. 26. Dagnet K. 14. Demirovic A. 22. Guessan M. (G) 10. Kalici R. 15. Lopes Monteiro Y. 24. Paulus F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Yala-Lusala B. ⚽, Couto R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Djetou H. ↓, Obeng Sarpong B. ↑,
64', Couto R. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
64', Bonet D. ↓, Goncalves M. ↑,
66', Freitas D. ↓, Balance Y. ↑,
66', Mendes E. ↓, Dagnet K. ↑,
70', Klein J. 🟨,
72', Gomes J. 🟨,
74', Ferreira A. 🟨,
81', Gomes J. ↓, Kehli N. ↑,
81', Yala-Lusala B. ↓, Soumah N. ↑,
83', Neves E. ↓, Paulus F. ↑,
83', Diakhite P. ↓, Lopes Monteiro Y. ↑,
84', Adrovic E. 🟥,
85', Benamra M. ↓, Guessan M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Soumah N. ⚽, Gomes L. (A),
90+1', Muller L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Bettembourg is BGL Ligue (Relegation)

Fola is Relegated to

Recent form of Bettembourg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fola has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Bettembourg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bettembourg is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bettembourg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bettembourg
Luxembourg National Division
11.05.25	UNA Strassen - Bettembourg	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Bettembourg - Racing Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Wiltz 71 - Bettembourg	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Differdange 03 - Bettembourg	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Hostert - Bettembourg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLLW
- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
12.05.25	Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Mondercange - Fola Esch	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Fola Esch - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	Pétange - Fola Esch	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Fola Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
08.12.24	Fola Esch - Bettembourg	0:2

Bettembourg - Fola Esch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide