Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Emile Mayrisch (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Fola Esch		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.83
	3.45	3.85	1.81
	3.46	3.95	1.83	Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.75
	3.4	3.62	1.89
	3.45	3.85	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.17)	3.82 ↑ (3.77)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fola Esch
26.5%

Draw
23.7%

Jeunesse Esch
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

24.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fola Esch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jeunesse Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jeunesse Esch will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Guessan M. (G) 31. Amou L. 11. Benamra M. 70. Dos Santos Aleixo R. 72. Ferreira A. 23. Freitas D. 28. Klein J. (C) 15. Lopes Monteiro Y. 7. Mendes E. 12. Neves E. 20. Pauly C.	1. Sommer K. (G) 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 22. Drif A. 27. Garos M. 7. Klica A. 99. Moreira R. 42. Nouidra T. 21. Nurenberg L. 88. Rodrigues J. 8. Soares D. (C)
Substitutes
44. Adrovic E. (G) 8. Balance Y. 6. Funck P. 10. Kalici R. 27. Marques D. 24. Paulus F. 17. Scholler A.	23. de Sousa A. 78. Dutard S. 16. Giovanardi M. (G) 30. Iserentant Y. . Logrillo A. 6. Mohammed Y. 4. Todorovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Pauly C. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Belgacem J. ⚽,
44', Pauly C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopes Monteiro Y. ↓, Funck P. ↑,
53', Nouidra T. 🟨,
54', Klica A. 🟨,
57', Ferreira A. 🟨,
68', Freitas D. ↓, Scholler A. ↑,
68', Benamra M. ↓, Balance Y. ↑,
72', Rodrigues J. ↓, Logrillo A. ↑,
77', Nurenberg L. ↓, Dutard S. ↑,
79', Mendes E. ↓, Kalici R. ↑,
83', Borger M. ↓, Todorovic M. ↑,
84', Soares D. ↓, Mohammed Y. ↑,
90', Klica A. 🟨,
90+2', Drif A. 🟨,
90+6', Dutard S. 🟨,
90+7', Kalici R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fola won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Jeunesse Esch has had a series of home games.

Jeunesse Esch might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fola won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:34. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fola won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
04.05.25	Mondercange - Fola Esch	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Fola Esch - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	Pétange - Fola Esch	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Fola Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Fola Esch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WLWLL
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
04.05.25	Jeunesse Esch - UNA Strassen	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Bettembourg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
11.12.24	Jeunesse Esch - Fola Esch	4:2
18.02.24	Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch	0:1
20.08.23	Jeunesse Esch - Fola Esch	4:1
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Jeunesse Esch - Fola Esch	2:2
Luxembourg National Division
23.04.23	Jeunesse Esch - Fola Esch	3:1
13.11.22	Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch	1:3
24.04.22	Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch	1:0

Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide