Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 22

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Becker (Hostert)


	Hostert		Bettembourg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3
	1.92	4.12	3.09	Watch
	1.83	3.96	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.93 ↓ (4.03)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hostert
48.1%

Draw
23.1%

Bettembourg
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

22.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bettembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bettembourg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Hostert - Bettembourg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sardou T. (G) 44. Alverdi L. 97. Amehi K. 5. Besch D. 31. Derbali R. 21. Fernandes D. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 8. Thibault M. (C) 93. Tibor J. D.	93. Bassene B. (G) 4. Baudry C. 17. Djetou H. 12. Gomes J. (C) 33. Idha A. 21. Kabore A. 10. Maconda MButa Q. 13. Muller L. 20. Paris B. 11. Soumah N. 25. Yala-Lusala B.
Substitutes
67. Ahmeti D. 37. Ales B. 80. Avdusinovic K. 13. Moroz A. 9. Quinol K. 99. Seligson F. (G) 6. Zilli Q.	22. Bonet D. 77. Couto R. 8. Goncalves M. 7. Kehli N. 23. Merino J. 57. Romario 82. Silvestre L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Idha A. ⚽, Gomes J. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Maconda MButa Q. ⚽, Idha A. (A),
32', Yala-Lusala B. 🟨,
33', 0 - 3, Muller L. ⚽, Soumah N. (A),
45+1', Leroux M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amehi K. ↓, Avdusinovic K. ↑,
46', Thibault M. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
55', Baudry C. 🟨,
60', Paris B. ↓, Romario ↑,
61', Alverdi L. 🟨,
63', Maconda MButa Q. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Alverdi L. ⚽,
66', Maconda MButa Q. 🟨,
69', Yala-Lusala B. ↓, Kehli N. ↑,
69', Soumah N. ↓, Bonet D. ↑,
73', Fernandes D. ↓, Zilli Q. ↑,
76', Kehli N. 🟨,
84', Bassene B. 🟨,
89', Alverdi L. 🟨,
90+3', Kabore A. 🟨,
90+5', Idha A. ↓, Goncalves M. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

Hostert is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bettembourg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hostert will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hostert won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
16.03.25	Hostert - Fola Esch	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
12.03.25	Hostert - UNA Strassen	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
08.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Hostert	0:3 ✺
02.03.25	Hostert - UNA Strassen	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Mondercange - Hostert	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLWTW
- SC Bettembourg
Luxembourg National Division
16.03.25	Jeunesse Esch - Bettembourg	5:1 ✺
09.03.25	Bettembourg - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Swift Hesperange - Bettembourg	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Bettembourg - Pétange	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Bettembourg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
25.09.24	Bettembourg - Hostert	2:4

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