Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 8

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stade Municipal (Bettembourg)


	Bettembourg		Hostert

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	2.6
	2.5	3.5	2.4
	2.57	3.56	2.41
	2.46	3.75	2.41	Watch
	2.46	3.62	2.34
	2.16	3.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.17)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	2.47 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bettembourg
38.2%

Draw
24.8%

Hostert
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

24.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bettembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bettembourg than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bettembourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-5%)

Bettembourg - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Bassene B. (G) 4. Baudry C. 22. Bonet D. 77. Couto R. 21. Kabore A. 10. Maconda MButa Q. 23. Merino J. (C) 33. Nadeau J. 20. Paris B. 57. Romario 25. Yala-Lusala B.	99. Chiotti D. (G) 44. Alverdi L. 97. Amehi K. 80. Avdusinovic K. 5. Besch D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 10. Meddour H. 9. Quinol K. 8. Thibault M. (C) 93. Tibor J. D.
Substitutes
17. Djetou H. 7. Kehli N. 27. Labyad S. 13. Muller L. 88. Silva Moreira A. M. 83. Silvestre L. (G)	37. Ales B. 7. El Alami I. 17. Fernandes D. 21. Fernandes D. 1. Sardou T. (G) 6. Zilli Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, Avdusinovic K. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Gomes Dos Santos J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Bonet D. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Quinol K. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 3, Leroux M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Leroux M. 🟨,
61', Amehi K. ↓, Ales B. ↑,
61', Quinol K. ↓, El Alami I. ↑,
61', Leroux M. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
63', Paris B. ↓, Djetou H. ↑,
63', Maconda MButa Q. ↓, Kehli N. ↑,
73', 2 - 4, Avdusinovic K. ⚽, Fernandes D. (A),
76', Couto R. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
77', Alverdi L. ↓, Grun A. ↑,
86', Kabore A. ↓, Silva Moreira A. M. ↑,
87', Yala-Lusala B. ↓, Labyad S. ↑,
90+1', Zilli Q. 🟨,
90+4', Tibor J. D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hostert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bettembourg
Luxembourg National Division
22.09.24	Bettembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Mondercange - Bettembourg	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Bettembourg - Swift Hesperange	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Pétange - Bettembourg	4:0 ✺
18.08.24	Bettembourg - Progrès Niedercorn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
21.09.24	Fola Esch - Hostert	0:4 ✺
14.09.24	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	UNA Strassen - Hostert	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Hostert - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Racing Luxembourg - Hostert	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWL

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