Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		Hostert

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	4.85
	1.51	4.51	5.32
	1.49	4.56	5.1	Watch
	1.53	4.25	4.71
	1.46	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	4.35 ↓ (4.55)	4.95 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
60.7%

Draw
20.9%

Hostert
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.1%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Luxembourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Racing Luxembourg - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ruffier R. (G) 77. Dewalque L. 6. Freire B. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. (C) 12. Lesquoy T. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N. 23. Qevani A. 7. Stolz D.	29. Gomes Y. (G) 67. Ahmeti D. 20. Baiverlin C. 22. Bernardy L. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 10. Meddour H. (C) 19. Mendes E. 97. Quinol K. 21. Yans M.
Substitutes
14. Azong C. . Barros T. 34. Bisevac A. 9. Herrmann C. 11. Messan W. 1. Sancho P. (G) 41. Yans E.	80. Altun S. 11. Bekkouche S. 25. Caufriez A. 79. Fernandes R. 15. Letievant A. 8. Maquart T. 99. Seligson F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Gomes Y. 🟨,
41', Quinol K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ikene F. ↓, Herrmann C. ↑,
46', Bernardy L. ↓, Letievant A. ↑,
48', Matubanzila S. 🟨,
57', Mendes E. 🟨,
59', Letievant A. 🟨,
62', Ahmeti D. ↓, Maquart T. ↑,
79', Quinol K. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
87', Herrmann C. ↓, Messan W. ↑,
89', Letievant A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 3.

Racing Luxembourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hostert has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hostert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing Luxembourg is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Racing Luxembourg won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:11. (average 2.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing Luxembourg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
30.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mamer	5:2 ✺
26.11.25	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atert Bissen - Racing Luxembourg	3:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Etzella Ettelbruck - Racing Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Käerjéng 97	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWT
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Mamer - Hostert	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hostert - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atert Bissen - Hostert	7:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hostert - F91 Dudelange	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
17.08.24	Racing Luxembourg - Hostert	4:1
Luxembourg Cup
03.04.24	Hostert - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ET
Luxembourg National Division
08.04.23	Hostert - Racing Luxembourg	1:1
23.10.22	Racing Luxembourg - Hostert	2:1
13.03.22	Hostert - Racing Luxembourg	1:4
22.09.21	Racing Luxembourg - Hostert	7:0
17.04.21	Racing Luxembourg - Hostert	0:2

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