Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Beveren		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	8.5	Watch
	1.23	6	8.5
	1.26	5.8	8.5
	1.22	6	9.6
	1.26	5.84	10.77
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.25	6.3	10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.82)	5.92 ↑ (3.56)	9.41 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beveren
74.6%

Draw
15.6%

Mouscron
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.8%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beveren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beveren's performance.

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mouscron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beveren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mouscron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beveren - Mouscron Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waasland-Beveren won 2.

Recent matches Waasland-Beveren is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mouscron is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Waasland-Beveren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Waasland-Beveren is indisputable favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Waasland-Beveren won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Waasland-Beveren won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Beveren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.04.22	RWDM Brussels - Beveren	2:1 ✺
01.04.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Beveren	2:0 ✺
19.03.22	Beveren - Lommel	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Deinze - Beveren	3:3 ✺
06.03.22	Beveren - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTTW
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.04.22	Mouscron - Westerlo	2:6 ✺
03.04.22	Excelsior Virton - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
18.03.22	Mouscron - Deinze	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Mouscron	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Mouscron - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.02.22	Mouscron - Beveren	3:0
19.11.21	Beveren - Mouscron	0:2
29.08.21	Mouscron - Beveren	0:4
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.01.21	Mouscron - Beveren	1:1
05.12.20	Beveren - Mouscron	2:0
07.03.20	Mouscron - Beveren	1:0
21.09.19	Beveren - Mouscron	1:1

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