Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Excelsior Virton		Mouscron

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	4	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.95	3.4	1.84
	4.34	3.63	1.85
	4	3.3	1.83
	4.15	3.62	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.86)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
23.1%

Draw
26.7%

Mouscron
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.1%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.7%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Mouscron aligns with the current prediction.

Excelsior Virton - Mouscron Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Virton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mouscron is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mouscron is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.03.22	RWDM Brussels - Excelsior Virton	3:0 ✺
11.03.22	Excelsior Virton - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Beveren - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Mouscron - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLLL
- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.03.22	Mouscron - Deinze	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Mouscron	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Mouscron - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Lommel - Mouscron	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Mouscron - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.02.22	Mouscron - Excelsior Virton	2:1
29.10.21	Excelsior Virton - Mouscron	0:2
18.09.21	Mouscron - Excelsior Virton	1:1
30.03.14	Excelsior Virton - Mouscron	0:2
26.10.13	Mouscron - Excelsior Virton	0:0

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