Match Info

Date: 8 April 2022, Friday


	Mouscron		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.53	Watch
	6	4.1	1.44
	6	4.1	1.5	Watch
	5.8	4.1	1.49
	6.17	4.21	1.54
	6	3.9	1.47
	5.85	4.35	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↓ (6.72)	4.11 ↑ (3.91)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
15.9%

Draw
22.5%

Westerlo
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

24%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

23.6%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Mouscron - Westerlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 0.

Mouscron is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Westerlo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Westerlo have a series of guest games.

In this match Westerlo is certain favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.04.22	Excelsior Virton - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
18.03.22	Mouscron - Deinze	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Mouscron	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Mouscron - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Lommel - Mouscron	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLT
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.04.22	Lommel - Westerlo	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Westerlo - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:0 ✺
16.03.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Excelsior Virton - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
04.03.22	Deinze - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.02.22	Westerlo - Mouscron	1:0
05.12.21	Westerlo - Mouscron	4:3
26.09.21	Mouscron - Westerlo	1:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.12.16	Mouscron - Westerlo	0:0
17.09.16	Westerlo - Mouscron	1:3
27.02.16	Westerlo - Mouscron	2:2
27.10.15	Mouscron - Westerlo	2:2

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