Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi		Erbaaspor

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.69	3.45	4.3
	1.65	3.64	5.16
	1.64	3.6	5.02	Watch
	1.61	3.64	4.92
	1.69	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	4.67 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
54.9%

Draw
25.6%

Erbaaspor
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beyoglu Yeni Carsi's performance.

Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beyoglu Yeni Carsi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Erbaaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Aynaoglu O. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Demircan B. B. ⚽,
45+3', Aydinli T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Balci O. ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, Istemi M. (Pen),
72', 2 - 3, Isilak G. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 13).

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Erbaaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erbaaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beyoglu Yeni Carsi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Beyoglu Yeni Carsi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Beyoglu Yeni Carsi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.01.25	Arnavutköy - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Menemenspor	3:3 ✺
15.12.24	Elazığspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWTTW
- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.01.25	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Erbaaspor	3:2 ✺
22.12.24	Serik Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Erbaaspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Somaspor - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
15.09.24	Erbaaspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:3
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
08.04.23	Erbaaspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:3
05.11.22	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Erbaaspor	2:0

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