Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 22

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Erbaaspor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.3	2.05
	3.09	3.5	2.1
	3.51	3.47	1.94	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.1
	3.04	3.4	2.09
	3.1	3.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (4.09)	3.37 ↓ (3.59)	2.06 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erbaaspor
29.1%

Draw
26.9%

Karacabey Belediyespor
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.2%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

24.8%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erbaaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erbaaspor's performance.

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karacabey Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erbaaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karacabey Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Calis T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 0, Turkoz R. ⚽, Aynaoglu O. (A),

Preview

Erbaaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karacabey Bld's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karacabey Bld will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Karacabey Bld will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erbaaspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Erbaaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Erbaaspor	5	2	1	2	13:12	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
18.01.26	Batman Petrolspor - Erbaaspor	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Erbaaspor - Altınordu	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Erbaaspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Ankaragücü - Erbaaspor	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Erbaaspor - Elazığspor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
18.01.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - İnegölspor	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Kepez Belediyesi - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beykoz Anadolu	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Ankaraspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
07.09.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	1:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.01.25	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:3
07.09.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	1:0

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