Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Biellese		Derthona

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.08	3.35	3.20	Watch
	2.12	3.18	3.21
	2.12	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.2 (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biellese
43.5%

Draw
28.1%

Derthona
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biellese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biellese than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Biellese - Derthona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
40', 0 - 1, Buongiorno D. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Scalzi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Biellese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Derthona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Biellese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Biellese
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.10.25	Asti - Biellese	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Biellese - Unione Sanremo	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Varese - Biellese	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Biellese - NovaRomentin	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Biellese - Chisola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWWT
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.10.25	Derthona - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Chisola - Derthona	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Derthona - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valenzana Mado - Derthona	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Derthona - Ligorna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTWL

Biellese - Derthona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide