Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Biellese		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.1	3.25
	2.21	2.8	3.32
	2.04	3.56	3.11	Watch
	2.13	2.88	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Biellese
43%

Draw
29.5%

Varese
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biellese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Biellese's form might have worsened.

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biellese than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Biellese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Biellese - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Sovogui A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Naamad J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Bertoni F. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Biellese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Biellese is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Biellese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Biellese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AS Biellese	6	4	2	0	12:5	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Biellese
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.04.26	Biellese - Gozzano	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Ligorna - Biellese	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Biellese - Sestri Levante	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Club Milano - Biellese	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Biellese - Saluzzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTT
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.04.26	Varese - Saluzzo	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Varese - Derthona	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Celle Varazze - Varese	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Varese - Valenzana Mado	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Unione Sanremo - Varese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
08.02.26	Biellese - Varese	0:0
05.10.25	Varese - Biellese	0:1

Upcoming Matches