Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Varese		Valenzana Mado

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.05
	1.77	3.42	4.05
	1.8	3.47	4.01	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4
	1.83	3.45	4.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	4.08 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Varese
50.9%

Draw
26.9%

Valenzana Mado
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Valenzana Mado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Varese - Valenzana Mado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.03.26	Unione Sanremo - Varese	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Varese - Gozzano	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Asti - Varese	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Varese - Vado	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	NovaRomentin - Varese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWWL
- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.03.26	Valenzana Mado - Ligorna	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Vado - Valenzana Mado	6:1 ✺
15.03.26	Valenzana Mado - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Club Milano - Valenzana Mado	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Valenzana Mado - Saluzzo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
23.11.25	Valenzana Mado - Varese	0:2

Upcoming Matches