Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Unione Sanremo		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	2.88
	2.36	3.02	2.86
	2.35	3.11	2.89	Watch
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.34	3.34	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)	3.09 ↓ (3.18)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unione Sanremo
39%

Draw
29.3%

Varese
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unione Sanremo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Unione Sanremo - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unione Sanremo won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unione Sanremo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Unione Sanremo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sanremese	6	2	2	2	9:7	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Unione Sanremo - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Sanremo
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.03.26	Celle Varazze - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	NovaRomentin - Unione Sanremo	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Unione Sanremo - Asti	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cairese - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Unione Sanremo - Biellese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.03.26	Varese - Gozzano	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Asti - Varese	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Varese - Vado	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	NovaRomentin - Varese	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Varese - Ligorna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
16.11.25	Varese - Unione Sanremo	3:2
25.01.25	Unione Sanremo - Varese	0:1
28.09.24	Varese - Unione Sanremo	2:0
28.03.24	Varese - Unione Sanremo	2:1
19.11.23	Unione Sanremo - Varese	1:1
29.05.22	Unione Sanremo - Varese	0:1
10.04.22	Unione Sanremo - Varese	1:0

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