Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Billericay Town		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.35	5.3
	1.47	4.72	5.15
	1.45	4.8	5.34	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.4	4.6	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.53 ↓ (4.8)	5.44 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
63.3%

Draw
20%

Burgess Hill Town
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

19.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
23', 2 - 0, Long E. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Merrifield F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 4 - 0, Cerulli A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 4.

Billericay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Burgess Hill is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Billericay is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Billericay will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Billericay won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Billericay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Billericay Town - Aveley	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
03.03.26	Lewes - Billericay Town	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Billericay Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ramsgate - Burgess Hill Town	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Welling United	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Canvey Island - Burgess Hill Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:2
23.12.17	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	3:4
26.08.17	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	6:1
11.03.17	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0
10.12.16	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	2:1
02.04.16	Billericay Town - Burgess Hill Town	0:0
21.11.15	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:1

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