Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Lewes		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.47
	5.15	4.15	1.49
	5.18	4.59	1.48
	5.14	4.65	1.48	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	5.59	4.3	1.45
	4	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.24)	4.27 ↑ (3.69)	1.5 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
18.1%

Draw
21.3%

Billericay Town
60.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.9%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

23.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lewes's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Billericay Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billericay Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lewes - Billericay Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Lewes (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lewes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Cerulli A. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Cerulli A. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 0 - 3, Merrifield F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 0.

Recent form of Lewes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Billericay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Billericay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lewes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	20:14	6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.02.26	Lewes - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Whitehawk - Lewes	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cheshunt - Lewes	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lewes - Aveley	1:6 ✺
07.02.26	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.02.26	Billericay Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	St Albans City - Billericay Town	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Billericay Town - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Potters Bar Town - Billericay Town	0:5 ✺
31.01.26	Billericay Town - Lewes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	Billericay Town - Lewes	3:0
15.02.25	Billericay Town - Lewes	4:2
12.10.24	Lewes - Billericay Town	2:2
06.02.24	Lewes - Billericay Town	0:3
20.01.24	Billericay Town - Lewes	5:0
25.02.23	Lewes - Billericay Town	1:1
24.09.22	Billericay Town - Lewes	2:1

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