Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Wingate & Finchley		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.2	3.35	2.82
	2.27	3.39	2.87
	2.21	3.59	2.84	Watch
	2.15	3	2.9
	2.23	3.33	3.12
	2.12	3.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	3.37 ↓ (3.62)	2.85 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
41%

Draw
27%

Burgess Hill Town
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgess Hill (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 4.

Recent form of Wingate & Finchley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Burgess Hill is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wingate & Finchley could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29% Wingate & Finchley: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.51%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Brentwood Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.02.26	Canvey Island - Burgess Hill Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Whitehawk - Burgess Hill Town	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hashtag United - Burgess Hill Town	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.26	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:2
27.04.19	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	4:2
16.10.18	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
05.04.18	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
09.09.17	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	2:0
21.02.17	Burgess Hill Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
10.01.17	Wingate & Finchley - Burgess Hill Town	2:1

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