Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday


	Billericay Town		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.61
	4.1	3.85	1.66
	4.3	3.9	1.64
	4.59	4.26	1.63
	4.5	3.6	1.67
	4.8	3.98	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.88)	3.89 ↑ (3.82)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
20.7%

Draw
23.5%

Ebbsfleet United
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

23.9%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Billericay Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Billericay will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Billericay: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Billericay is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ebbsfleet in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ebbsfleet is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Billericay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Billericay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English National League South
30.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Billericay Town - Bath City	1:2 ✺
18.04.22	Chelmsford City - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Billericay Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Billericay Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
30.04.22	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
23.04.22	Tonbridge Angels - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Concord Rangers - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
15.04.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Welling United - Ebbsfleet United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.12.21	Ebbsfleet United - Billericay Town	0:0
31.10.20	Billericay Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:2

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