Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.2
	1.87	3.6	3.35
	2.03	3.35	3.25
	2.09	3.48	3.34
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	2.02	3.44	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.52)	3.46 ↓ (4)	3.5 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
47.2%

Draw
26.6%

Billericay Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastbourne Borough's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Billericay Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastbourne Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billericay Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastbourne Borough - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 2.

Recent matches Eastbourne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Billericay has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Billericay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eastbourne is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
18.04.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Eastbourne Borough	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Welling United	3:3 ✺
09.04.22	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:2 ✺
02.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTWW
- Billericay Town
English National League South
23.04.22	Billericay Town - Bath City	1:2 ✺
18.04.22	Chelmsford City - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Billericay Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Billericay Town	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Billericay Town - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.08.21	Billericay Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:5
16.02.21	Eastbourne Borough - Billericay Town	4:2
29.02.20	Eastbourne Borough - Billericay Town	1:1
03.08.19	Billericay Town - Eastbourne Borough	1:0
16.02.19	Billericay Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
08.12.18	Eastbourne Borough - Billericay Town	0:2
09.04.13	Billericay Town - Eastbourne Borough	1:2

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