Match Info

National League South - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Billericay Town		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.90	4.00
	1.68	3.75	3.90
	1.75	4.01	4.50
	1.7	4.18	4.12	Watch
	1.73	3.65	4.45
	1.73	4.08	4.08
	1.63	4.10	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)	3.95 ↓ (4.14)	4.18 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
54.5%

Draw
23.4%

Farnborough
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Billericay Town - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bonne M. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Bonne M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 3 - 0, Merrifield F. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Merrifield F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 18th).

Billericay has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Farnborough is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Billericay is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Billericay in today's match, at odds of 1.87.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Billericay has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Billericay against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Billericay	12	6	4	2	27:16	11	22
19	Farnborough	12	4	2	6	10:19	-9	14

Outrights of English National League South for now

Billericay: 3.56% Farnborough: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Billericay Town - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.9%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English National League South
26.09.26	Billericay Town - Torquay United	3:0 ✺
15.09.26	Billericay Town - Braintree Town	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Maidenhead United - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Chesham United - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Billericay Town - Dorking Wanderers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWTWT
- Farnborough
English National League South
26.09.26	Walton & Hersham - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Farnborough - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.03.16	Billericay Town - Farnborough	2:3
15.02.16	Farnborough - Billericay Town	0:2
English National League South
23.04.13	Farnborough - Billericay Town	4:3
05.03.13	Billericay Town - Farnborough	2:1

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