Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress		Rotor

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.4	1.9
	2.66	3.3	2.37	Watch
	3.4	3.45	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.62)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	2.07 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress
29%

Draw
26.9%

Rotor
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biolog-Novokubansk Progress has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Biolog-Novokubansk Progress's form might have worsened.

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rotor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biolog-Novokubansk Progress than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Biolog-Novokubansk Progress, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rotor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Biolog Novokubansk Progress - Rotor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Biolog is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rotor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rotor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Biolog have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Biolog won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Biolog won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biolog-Novokubansk Progress
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
29.10.22	Spartak Nalchik - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - SKA Rostov	4:1 ✺
01.10.22	Dynamo Stavropol - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Legion Makhachkala - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWT
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
29.10.22	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Rotor	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Rotor - Spartak Nalchik	1:4 ✺
14.10.22	Yessentuki - Rotor	0:5 ✺
09.10.22	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Rotor - Shinnik	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
14.08.22	Rotor - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	2:1
Russian PFL South
02.04.17	Rotor - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	6:0
09.09.16	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Rotor	1:5

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