The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotor 48.5%
Draw 28.3%
Volga Ulyanovsk 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.1%
25.7%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
24.6%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotor's form might have worsened.
Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 15. Danilkin E. 26. Baytukov R. 17. Pokidyshev N. 24. Kleshchenko A. (C) 5. Troshechkin A. 28. Khubulov A. 2. Manelov I. 10. Simonyan A. 18. Rodionov I. 11. Eldarushev A.
95. Khodanovich A. (G) 20. Kovalev K. 5. Stepanov D. 50. Bykov A. 99. Kostin A. 55. Saplinov A. 88. Dziov M. 8. Rakhmanov D. (C) 9. Folmer K. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 14. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
9. Aliev S. 8. Ayupov T. 29. Khityaev A. 7. Khokhlachev A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 12. Revazov A. 1. Sugrobov V. (G) 22. Tsaraev A. 6. Umnikov M. 4. Yudintsev G.
77. Bagatelia L. 17. Gershun I. 60. Kasyanov I. 11. Khashkulov A. 15. Kokoev D. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 7. Nikitin A. 22. Rakhmanov D. 1. Shakerov R. (G)
Coaches
Parfenov D.
Grishchenko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Folmer K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Simonyan A. ⚽,
53', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Nikitin A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
72', Folmer K. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
73', Yakovlev V. ↓, Khashkulov A. ↑,
77', Kovalev K. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
77', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Bagatelia L. ⚽,
83', Rodionov I. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
85', Khubulov A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Rotor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Rotor has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Rotor for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rotor has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rotor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).