Match Info

FNL - Round 18

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)


	Rotor		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.14	4.51
	2.03	3.13	4.27	Watch
	1.8	3.05	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.8)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	4.49 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
48.7%

Draw
30.3%

Shinnik
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

29.9%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Rotor - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 28. Semenov A. 37. Fomin D. 3. Shvetsov M. 80. Bardybakhin V. 18. Kaynov M. 6. Makarov S. (C) 73. Aznaurov I. 10. Simonyan A. 70. Khokhlachev A. 9. Davidyan D.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 55. Lystsov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 4. Bozov N. 5. Malyarov K. 53. Kotin N. 8. Kul R. 44. Kornyushin D. 50. Golubev A. (C) 77. Gongapshev A. 9. Stefanovich I.
Substitutes
34. Khramtsov M. 23. Lavrishchev D. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 24. Maltsev M. 27. Nikishin K. 95. Pravkin S. 7. Safronov I. 77. Sasin D. 17. Shilnikov G. 5. Shumskikh A. 50. Sugrobov V. (G) 90. Tsipushtanov M.	27. Chernyi A. 61. Malakhov A. 88. Mironov D. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 15. Samoilov D. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Buloychik A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', Semenov A. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Semenov A. ⚽,
60', Davidyan D. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
61', Kul R. 🟨,
63', Kosogorov A. 🟨,
65', Kul R. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
65', Malyarov K. ↓, Samoilov D. ↑,
70', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
71', Simonyan A. ↓, Maltsev M. ↑,
71', Aznaurov I. ↓, Nikishin K. ↑,
77', Bozov N. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Safronov I. (Pen),
79', Kaynov M. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
79', Khokhlachev A. ↓, Lavrishchev D. ↑,
81', Lystsov V. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Shilnikov G. ⚽,
86', Shilnikov G. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rotor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shinnik has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rotor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
03.11.25	Rotor - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
20.10.25	Fakel - Rotor	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rotor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWT
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
01.11.25	Shinnik - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Shinnik - Fakel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.09.25	Shinnik - Rotor	2:0
01.12.24	Rotor - Shinnik	1:1
14.07.24	Shinnik - Rotor	0:1
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Rotor - Shinnik	1:2 penalties
Russian FNL
15.03.20	Shinnik - Rotor	0:1
18.08.19	Rotor - Shinnik	2:3
Russian FNL Cup
17.02.19	Rotor - Shinnik	2:1 penalties

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