Match Info

Challenge League - Round 9

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Birżebbuġa St. Peters		Marsa

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.46	4.45	4.99
	1.47	4.57	5.11	Watch
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.31	5	7.27
	1.44	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.27)	4.41 ↓ (5.2)	5.47 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
63%

Draw
20.5%

Marsa
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.5%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birżebbuġa St. Peters's form might have worsened.

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsa's recent form is better than expected.

Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Marsa (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Alex Bruno (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Birżebbuġa has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Birżebbuġa is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Challenge League
11.12.25	Sirens - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Fgura United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Mtarfa	8:2 ✺
25.10.25	Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.12.25	Swieqi United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Marsa - Mġarr United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Marsa - Sirens	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gudja United - Marsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT

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